SPEECH BY MR RAYMOND LIM,
MINISTER FOR TRANSPORT AND

SECOND MINISTER FOR FOREIGN AFFAIRS,
AT THE LAUNCH OF “FLAG THE BUS EARLY” CAMPAIGN,
23 OCTOBER 2006, 10.00AM

 

 

A SUSTAINABLE LAND TRANSPORT SYSTEM FOR SINGAPORE

 

Role of land transport

1                                I am pleased to join you this morning to launch the ‘Flag the Bus Early’ Campaign and to be able to share with you some of my thoughts on how I would like to see the future of land transport in Singapore develop. We are familiar with the economic contributions of our air hub status and our position as a major port.  Though we hear less about it,   our land transport system plays a critical role in facilitating economic development and enhancing Singapore’s attractiveness as a place to live and work. An efficient land transport system that provides good linkages to our air and seaports is crucial to Singapore’s economy being firmly plugged into the rest of the world. In 2005, some $207 billion worth of domestic goods were transported from our industrial hubs to our air and seaports as well as customs checkpoints for export. Everyday, more than 8 million trips are made over road and rail links between residential and employment, education and recreational centres.

 

2                                Singapore is a small and dense city state, with a population of slightly over four million packed into a total area of slightly under 700 sq km.  I have deliberately used the term “city state” to describe Singapore as it highlights a key dilemma that we face.   As a city, we aspire to be amongst the global cities of the world, and by most standards, our current population of 4 million is not large.  While we would obviously never reach the size of New York or Tokyo or Shanghai which are all several times our current population, we certainly hope to grow steadily over the next few decades.   But as a country, Singapore already has one of the highest population densities in the world, with more than 6,000 people per square-km. This is more than 100 times higher than Ireland and several hundred times higher than New Zealand, which are countries with a similar population size of about 4 million. Unlike being a city within a larger country, in our case, we must provide the land for the full requirements needed of a country – for defence, nature areas, water catchment and reservoirs, power plants, industries, air and sea ports, in addition to housing and roads. All these competing demands for land have to be met without compromising the quality of our living environment.  Already, some 12% of our land is used for transport, same as that used for industry, and almost as much as for housing 15%.  Our land transport options are therefore framed by these immutable realities, even as we aspire to be a vibrant global city.      

 

3                                Moreover, the more economically and socially vibrant Singapore becomes, the greater will be the demand for travel, and hence, the greater will be the pressure on our transport system. For example, when our investments in new tourism initiatives such as the integrated resorts take off, we can expect more tourists to come to Singapore, and to use our transport system.  But these challenges of growth are challenges that we welcome.

 

4                                For many cities in the world, growth means urban sprawl, traffic gridlock, noise and air pollution, and a loss of serenity.  As economist Richard Posner puts it succinctly, “congestion is a tax too, but a hidden tax on the time of people rather than on their pocketbooks because it increases the amount of time wasted in heavy traffic.” We see this happening in cities across the United States where the “congestion invoice” stands at billions of dollars. Los Angeles for example, is one of the most traffic-choked urban cities in the United States with congestion expanding over larger areas and causing severe air pollution problems. The Los Angeles Times recently said that severe congestion has turned what once was quick pizza deliveries to homes within a mile or two of the pizza parlour into a 30 to 45-minute ordeal. The pattern is repeated in many cities all over the world, whether in other Western cities, or in fast-growing cities of China and India, and nearer home, in the capital cities of our ASEAN neighbours. There are no easy solutions, but Singapore has so far managed to swim against the tide through deliberate effort, and taking tough decisions to ensure the long-term sustainability of our land transport policies.

 

How we have navigated the past 

 

5                                Given our situation and our challenges, we had decided on some critical directions and policies early on as encapsulated in the 1996 White Paper on Land Transport. These have been instrumental in enabling us to meet our transportation needs while keeping congestion at bay.

 

6                                We recognized that while we must pursue a systematic road building programme to support development, it is not sustainable to build more and more roads simply to meet an insatiable demand.  In fact, well-maintained and smooth-flowing roads are all the more likely to attract additional new users.  There is therefore also a need for a good traffic management system to optimize road usage and keep our roads free of congestion.

 

7                                Overall, we have to strike a balance between facilitating those who wish to own and use vehicles while tackling the social costs of unrestrained vehicle usage.  To do this, we implemented the Vehicle Quota System in 1990 to manage the growth of the vehicle population at a rate that can be supported by our road infrastructure development.  In addition, to tackle congestion directly, we implemented and evolved road pricing mechanisms, beginning with the Area Licensing Scheme in 1975, and later introducing electronic road pricing or ERP in 1998 when technology made this possible. Contrary to what some people think, the ERP is not a revenue raising device but a traffic management tool. Since ERP has been implemented, revenue collected has been considerably less than under the Area Licensing Scheme – ERP revenue in 2005 is about 20% less than that collected under the ALS in 1997. 

 

8                                Like other cities, we also promoted public transport as a major mode of transport, as it can carry large numbers of people around efficiently.  Over the years, we have developed a reliable and affordable public transport system, comprising the rapid transit system and an extensive bus network.  Each day, some 4 million commuter trips are made on our public transport system, and during the morning peak period, some 63% of all trips are made on public transport. There is a large constituency of public transport commuters to satisfy.  According to the Public Transport Council’s 2005 survey, 7 in 10 commuters are satisfied with our bus services. Unfortunately, SBS Transit laments to me that what often gets highlighted in the media are the complaints.

 

9                                 While some policies, for example the vehicle ownership and usage restraint policies are not popular, by and large, Singaporeans understand the need for them.  As a society, we have collectively reaped the benefits of our approach to transportation.  While we continue to strive for improvement, we can feel encouraged that our land transport system has won praise from those who have experienced and compared various systems. Matthew Pereira writing in the Sunday Times (17 September 2006) mentioned his Egyptian friend, Al who had just become a permanent resident in Singapore, after spending the last 13 years in the United States.  Pereira writes, “[Al’s] perspective of Singapore was often quite different from what I am used to hearing.  For instance, I have never heard anyone praise Singapore’s measures to control its car population the way he does.  He tells me about the traffic problems in Egypt’s capital Cairo which he described as “one big parking lot (where) you cannot move your car.”  Al’s father owned a car, but had not driven it for years, for fear that if he drove the car out, he would never be able to find a car park lot again.  Writing in USA Today in August this year, Alan Webber, a former editorial director of the Harvard Business Review, lauded Singapore for its innovative and environmentally sustainable approach to managing land transport. He encouraged American officials to learn from what he calls Singapore’s “comprehensive policy approach to the auto” and “thoughtfully aligned policy incentives”.  More recently, a Financial Times journalist here to cover the IMF meeting was told specifically to also take the opportunity to research our land transport policies. 

 

Making sound choices for the future

10                           So we have solid foundations but we need to plan ahead taking into account the pressures we know we will face. We must ensure a transport system that meets not just our present needs, but also the needs of generations to come –  a sustainable transport system that supports continued population and economic growth and the higher expectations that come with being a first world city.  Therefore I have decided that it is timely for my ministry to take stock of the 1996 White Paper and work with our stakeholders to develop a new roadmap to articulate and guide the key land transport developments over the next 10 to 15 years.

 

11                           It will be a comprehensive review, but there are three key areas that we must look closely at: (1) What more must we do to make public transport a choice mode for Singaporeans? (2) How do we ensure that we are responsive to the evolving and diverse needs of our population? (3) How do we ensure that in our quest for efficiency, we do not lose sight of the human dimension in our transport system – that is, our transport system, while having to be as efficient as possible, must ultimately serve the people who use it. 

 

12                           Let me take each of this in turn. Firstly, we must build on what we have done right and in particular, focus on what more we can do to make public transport a choice mode. 

 

Make public transport a choice mode

13                           Given our urban situation, the fundamentals of our land transport policy do not change very much.  Promoting public transport as a major mode of transport, optimizing road usage and managing demand for and the use of private vehicles – these policies remain the bedrock of a sustainable land transport system for Singapore.    

 

14                           However, the task ahead of us is a challenging one.  Keeping the roads smooth-flowing remains a fundamental objective.  We have 780,000 vehicles plying the road and the numbers will continue to increase as our population and economy continue to grow.  Hence, we must continue to manage the growth of the vehicle population, as there is a limit to the amount of roads we can have in our densely built-up city.   

 

15                           In the last 15 years, our vehicle population grew at 2.3% per annum, while roads, measured in lane-km, grew at 1% per annum. In the next 15 years, we expect annual road growth to be halved.  As our road-building programme enters maturity, the choices that we are faced with are not difficult to imagine.  What level of congestion can we tolerate?  What is the impact of this on ERP charges and the areas of coverage?  How do we calibrate vehicle population growth in relation to road expansion and the aspirations of our people to own cars? And in addressing these questions, we need to bear in mind that there is an overriding constraint on further road expansion. This means that there will be a sharper trade-off between increasing vehicle population growth and its impact on higher ERP charges and more extensive ERP coverage. These are some of the long-term challenges that we will need to grapple with.  And at a more micro-level, should we have less greenery on our roads so that we can have the additional lane?  Should we have more viaducts and spaghetti junctions, which will improve the journey experience for some drivers, but at the expense of a quality visual landscape? 

 

16                           However, there are also opportunities to be seized now, which will put us in a stronger position to meet future demands.  For one, we must make a concerted effort to aggressively promote public transport, which is an efficient mass carrier, and which plays a central role in most first world cities.   This is a major challenge.  The proportion of trips taken on public transport during the morning peak period declined from 67% in 1997 to 63% in 2004 and this despite investing heavily in providing a good public transport system. Let me add that the reason for the drop is not because there has been a drop in public transport usage, but simply because we have allowed the car population to increase quite substantially, generating a much greater increase in car trips compared with trips on public transport. Between 1997 and 2004, the daily number of bus and rail trips increased by 2.3%.  However, the picture is quite different for cars. Over the same period, the car population grew by 10%, but the daily number of car trips generated increased by 23%, which is more than double the rate of car population increase.  In other words, there has been a growing trend that once a car is bought, it is used very intensively. This is not surprising as having paid heavily upfront on a car with a limited period for use before it has to be scrapped, owners tend to drive as much as they can. Another reason is that the additional cost for car usage even after taking into account petrol taxes, ERP charges and parking have remained relatively low. 

 

17                           We will have to work harder to make public transport a choice mode for the vast majority of Singaporeans for routine day-to-day commuting. This is because for a dense urban city-state such as ours, it will be catastrophic to allow private transport to be the dominant transport mode as it will cause huge degradation to the city’s liveability and quality of life.  For a start, we will have to reverse the trend of declining public transport modal share, and over time, aim to raise it.  Our focus would be on the morning peak period, where we target to increase the current public transport modal share of 63% to at least 70% over the next 10 – 15 years to achieve a high quality and sustainable land transport system that is able to handle a significantly larger population base, with greater economic, business and tourism activities in tandem with Singapore’s next phase of development.  This is a target which, if achieved, will help ensure that we can continue to enjoy a high quality urban living environment.

 

18                           We will therefore need to continue to extend the rail network so that we have a sufficiently comprehensive network to serve as the main backbone for our public transport system. The Circle Line will greatly enhance connectivity between suburban destinations and cut travel times, while the Downtown Extension will bring the MRT into the Downtown at Marina Bay. Together, they will greatly increase connectivity of our entire rail network. Beyond that, LTA is currently reviewing the plans for the other new lines so as to make recommendations to the Government on their implementation and funding.  

 

19                           We must also improve the bus system through bus priority schemes like full-day bus lanes, the new Quality of Service Standards for buses, and allow for more niche services for those who are willing to pay a little more for faster or more direct travel.  In this regard, LTA has already started a review of our current public transport regulatory and competition framework to achieve the outcome of providing commuters with more choice and a more integrated and efficient public transport system.  We must aim high with the test being whether people who have a choice of private or public transport, are won over to our public transport system.  To achieve that, people must feel that “My other car is a bus” or train as the case may be.

 

Responsive to diverse needs

20                           Secondly, we have to be responsive to the diverse needs of the community.  Our society is changing, and demands on land transport are increasingly more complex.  Our transport offerings must be more responsive to the diversity of needs, as well as reflect the more socially inclusive society that we seek to become.  Hence, we have begun making changes to enable the public transport system to meet the needs of the elderly and the disabled. Our MRT stations have been retrofitted with lifts and other barrier-free facilities.  The first wheelchair accessible buses have also started plying since July this year, and by 2010, 40% of our bus fleet will be wheelchair accessible. The LTA is also upgrading bus stops, road kerbs and other road facilities to enable senior citizens and others with mobility difficulties to get around more easily.  

 

21                           However, in a diverse society, it is natural that needs and interests may diverge in some cases, making it less easy to get a consensus among Singaporeans on the way forward – for example, striking a balance between the needs of cyclists, pedestrians and motorists. Dialogue, give and take, and a commitment to mutual accommodation will be necessary. For example, take a walk along East Coast Park on a weekend and you will see cyclists, in-line skaters, joggers, prams and pets on leashes all sharing the same jogging and cycling track. There will be  those who will politely extend the courtesy of passage to others but you will also overhear complaints about joggers who do not keep to their jogging path or cyclists who do not keep to their cycling path, reinforcing the importance of mutual understanding between competing user groups.

 

22                           We must also continue to ensure that public transport fares remain affordable for the general public, and for the lower-income households and others who are financially-disadvantaged, we must find effective measures, in conjunction with other Government agencies, to help them continue to have access to our public transport system.  So, while public transport fares will have to be adjusted regularly but in small amounts to reflect the costs increase faced by our public transport operators, the Government will continue to ensure that those who need financial help to access our public transport system would receive such help.         

 

Emphasise the ‘human touch’

23                           Thirdly, we must emphasise the ‘human touch’ in transport planning.   I fully agree with Laurel Teo, writing in the Straits Times in October last year, that transport planning must take into account the human dimension. 

 

24                           Let me say that transport has never been about hardware, building the best or using the most advanced technology for its own sake.  Neither is it the case that in the quest for efficiency, we have focused on the faceless “system”, but lost sight of the people who use the transport system and make it happen - the commuter, the motorist, the bus captain, the officer who mans the MRT operations control centre.    SBS Transit’s launch of the ‘Flag the Bus Early’ Campaign brings home the point that through a simple stretching out of one’s hand ahead of time to flag down an oncoming bus, commuters can help the bus captains stop the bus in a timely manner and the commuters on board to enjoy a smoother ride.    

 

25                           Nevertheless, I think we can still do more to emphasise the human dimension in transport planning and help people understand our approach. The transport system must be planned and built to benefit people movement rather than vehicle movement.  The two are related but not the same. Understanding the difference is critical if we want to have a system that meets the needs of users.  Listening to stakeholders is key.  LTA engages its stakeholders on an ongoing basis and have stepped up efforts to hear from users and take their views into account.  LTA will also learn from good practices in other countries, and where relevant, also engage external transport consultants to give their inputs in order to invite fresh perspectives as in the case of the public transport industry review which I mentioned earlier.  There are regular surveys to understand users’ needs and views are sought through online channels such as Talk2lta.gov.sg which is a dedicated public consultation portal.  Users are also involved in designing and implementing new services and facilities.  For example LTA,  collaborated with the Handicaps Welfare Association and SBS Transit  in planning and implementing the first wheelchair-accessible bus route, so that it would effectively meet the needs of wheelchair-bound users. 

 

Concluding Remarks : Land Transport Vision

26                           Going forward, we will build on the sound foundations that have been laid.  Our vision for a world class transport system ensues from, and must support the overarching vision of what Singapore is to be – a vibrant jewel of a city, with a quality living and working environment, and an inclusive society. 

 

27                           Our land transport network will play a critical role in realizing this overarching national vision, by connecting Singaporeans and enabling them to carry out their daily activities conveniently. To do this, we must develop a world class land transport system, and we must also recognise that the term “world class” is not static. We have to change and respond to demands, and see through the eyes of the travelling public and the stake-holders. Expectations are rising and people expect their journeys to be more reliable, comfortable and convenient.

 

28                           So we will undertake this comprehensive review of our land transport policy, asking how we can improve travel for Singaporeans, asking how we can build a more sustainable transport system by examining different policy alternatives. Quality of choice matters if we want to have a world class transport system.

 

29                           We will do this over the next one year or so, and it will be an exciting journey as we review our policies, deliberate, consult and firm up our plans to take us to the next phase of land transport development.  We will know that we have succeeded when our land transport system is regarded in the same league as our airport and sea port. This is our ambition and we ask you to join us in helping to make this happen.

 

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